This notebook contains a set of analyses for analyzing mrbananagrabber boardgamegeek collection. The bulk of the analysis is focused on building a user-specific predictive model to predict the games that the specified user is likely to own. This enables us to ask questions like, based on the games the user currently owns, what games are a good fit for their collection? What upcoming games are they likely to purchase?
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We can look at a basic description of the number of games that the user owns, has rated, has previously owned, etc.
What years has the user owned/rated games from? While we can’t see when a user added or removed a game from their collection, we can look at their collection by the years in which their games were published.
We can look at the most frequent types of categories, mechanics, designers, and artists that appear in a user’s collection.
We’ll examine a predictive model trained on a user’s collection for games published through 2020. How many games has the user owned/rated/played in the training set (games prior to 2020)?
username | dataset | period | games_owned | games_rated |
mrbananagrabber | training | published before 2020 | 120 | 128 |
mrbananagrabber | validation | published 2020 | 18 | 10 |
mrbananagrabber | test | published after 2020 | 5 | 0 |
The main outcome we will be modeling for the user is owned, which refers to whether the user currently owns or has a previously owned a game in their collection. Our goal is to train a predictive model to learn the probability that a user will add a game to their collection based on its observable features.
We can examine coefficients from the model we trained, which is a logistic regression with elastic net regularization (which I will refer to as a penalized logistic regression). Positive values indicate that a feature increases a user’s probability of owning/rating a game, while negative values indicate a feature decreases the probability. To be precise, the coefficients indicate the effect of a particular feature on the log-odds of a user owning a game.
Why did the model identify these features? We can make density plots of the important features for predicting whether the user owned a game. Blue indicates the density for games owned by the user, while grey indicates the density for games not owned by the user.
Binary predictors can be difficult to see with this visualization, so we can also directly examine the percentage of games in a user’s collection with a predictor vs the percentage of all games with that predictor.
% of Games with Feature | ||||
username | Feature | In_Collection | All_Games | Ratio |
mrbananagrabber | Artist Chris Quilliams | 7.5% | 0.4% | 19.00 |
mrbananagrabber | Space Cowboys | 5.0% | 0.3% | 17.42 |
mrbananagrabber | Artist Ian Otoole | 3.3% | 0.2% | 14.29 |
mrbananagrabber | Fantasy Flight Games | 20.0% | 1.9% | 10.72 |
mrbananagrabber | Variable Setup | 15.8% | 1.6% | 9.75 |
mrbananagrabber | Wooden Pieces Boards | 10.8% | 1.2% | 8.95 |
mrbananagrabber | Splotter Spellen | 0.8% | 0.1% | 8.45 |
mrbananagrabber | Asmodee | 31.7% | 3.9% | 8.17 |
mrbananagrabber | CMON Global Limited | 4.2% | 0.6% | 7.15 |
mrbananagrabber | Map Continental National Scale | 15.0% | 2.3% | 6.48 |
mrbananagrabber | Race | 7.5% | 1.4% | 5.43 |
mrbananagrabber | Has Miniatures | 15.8% | 3.0% | 5.30 |
mrbananagrabber | Renegade Game Studios | 3.3% | 0.6% | 5.23 |
mrbananagrabber | Iello | 10.8% | 2.1% | 5.07 |
mrbananagrabber | ZMan Games | 11.7% | 2.4% | 4.82 |
mrbananagrabber | Murder Mystery | 7.5% | 1.6% | 4.78 |
mrbananagrabber | Artist Klemens Franz | 4.2% | 0.9% | 4.47 |
mrbananagrabber | Dice With Icons | 6.7% | 1.5% | 4.32 |
mrbananagrabber | Solo Solitaire Game | 19.2% | 4.6% | 4.19 |
mrbananagrabber | Storytelling | 8.3% | 2.1% | 3.89 |
mrbananagrabber | Pegasus Spiele | 13.3% | 3.5% | 3.85 |
mrbananagrabber | Collectible Components | 6.7% | 1.8% | 3.63 |
mrbananagrabber | Industry Manufacturing | 5.0% | 1.7% | 2.98 |
mrbananagrabber | Deduction Game | 15.0% | 5.8% | 2.60 |
mrbananagrabber | Food Cooking | 3.3% | 1.3% | 2.58 |
Before predicting games in upcoming years, we can examine how well the model did and what games it liked in the training set. In this case, we used resampling techniques (cross validation) to ensure that the model had not seen a game before making its predictions.
An easy way to examine the performance of classification model is to view a separation plot. We plot the predicted probabilities from the model for every game (from resampling) from lowest to highest. We then overlay a blue line for any game that the user does own. A good classifier is one that is able to separate the blue (games owned by the user) from the white (games not owned by the user), with most of the blue occurring at the highest probabilities (right side of the chart).
We can display this information in table form, displaying the 100 games with the highest probability of ownership, adding a blue line when the user does own the game.
Rank | Published | ID | Name | Pr(Owned) | Owned |
1 | 2015 | 172386 | Mombasa | 0.892 | no |
2 | 2018 | 256226 | Azul: Stained Glass of Sintra | 0.709 | no |
3 | 2004 | 9609 | War of the Ring | 0.676 | no |
4 | 2017 | 221107 | Pandemic Legacy: Season 2 | 0.647 | no |
5 | 2016 | 205637 | Arkham Horror: The Card Game | 0.625 | yes |
6 | 2019 | 230244 | Black Angel | 0.620 | no |
7 | 2018 | 205896 | Rising Sun | 0.576 | no |
8 | 2017 | 162886 | Spirit Island | 0.546 | no |
9 | 2012 | 121921 | Robinson Crusoe: Adventures on the Cursed Island | 0.544 | no |
10 | 2012 | 124742 | Android: Netrunner | 0.542 | no |
11 | 2019 | 270971 | Era: Medieval Age | 0.512 | no |
12 | 2015 | 181530 | Runebound (Third Edition) | 0.507 | no |
13 | 2016 | 198928 | Pandemic: Iberia | 0.501 | no |
14 | 2016 | 187645 | Star Wars: Rebellion | 0.499 | no |
15 | 2006 | 21241 | Neuroshima Hex! 3.0 | 0.481 | no |
16 | 1982 | 2511 | Sherlock Holmes Consulting Detective: The Thames Murders & Other Cases | 0.462 | yes |
17 | 2019 | 285774 | Marvel Champions: The Card Game | 0.449 | yes |
18 | 2018 | 258444 | Gingerbread House | 0.449 | no |
19 | 2016 | 204305 | Sherlock Holmes Consulting Detective: Jack the Ripper & West End Adventures | 0.434 | yes |
20 | 2016 | 176083 | Hit Z Road | 0.433 | no |
21 | 1997 | 42 | Tigris & Euphrates | 0.414 | no |
22 | 2019 | 271896 | Star Wars: Outer Rim | 0.413 | no |
23 | 2011 | 83330 | Mansions of Madness | 0.412 | no |
24 | 2019 | 269385 | The Lord of the Rings: Journeys in Middle-Earth | 0.410 | yes |
25 | 2019 | 270970 | Century: A New World | 0.386 | no |
26 | 2014 | 159508 | AquaSphere | 0.383 | no |
27 | 2017 | 232918 | Fallout | 0.360 | no |
28 | 2016 | 169786 | Scythe | 0.336 | no |
29 | 2010 | 62219 | Dominant Species | 0.308 | no |
30 | 1995 | 112 | Condottiere | 0.298 | no |
31 | 2017 | 190082 | Whitehall Mystery | 0.296 | yes |
32 | 2017 | 223931 | Sherlock Holmes Consulting Detective: Carlton House & Queen's Park | 0.293 | yes |
33 | 2018 | 252328 | Star Wars: X-Wing (Second Edition) | 0.284 | yes |
34 | 2017 | 220775 | Codenames: Disney – Family Edition | 0.280 | no |
35 | 2009 | 45315 | Dungeon Lords | 0.275 | no |
36 | 2013 | 146021 | Eldritch Horror | 0.272 | no |
37 | 2006 | 14808 | Marvel Heroes | 0.266 | no |
38 | 2014 | 152241 | Ultimate Werewolf | 0.265 | no |
39 | 2012 | 119391 | Il Vecchio | 0.262 | no |
40 | 2015 | 170216 | Blood Rage | 0.256 | no |
41 | 2012 | 120677 | Terra Mystica | 0.248 | yes |
42 | 2017 | 174430 | Gloomhaven | 0.246 | yes |
43 | 2018 | 199792 | Everdell | 0.238 | no |
44 | 2016 | 198773 | Codenames: Pictures | 0.237 | no |
45 | 2016 | 192153 | Pandemic: Reign of Cthulhu | 0.236 | no |
46 | 2011 | 102548 | Dungeon Fighter | 0.233 | no |
47 | 2019 | 266507 | Clank!: Legacy – Acquisitions Incorporated | 0.230 | no |
48 | 2017 | 184151 | Legend of the Five Rings: The Card Game | 0.222 | no |
49 | 2012 | 123239 | Wits & Wagers Party | 0.219 | no |
50 | 2004 | 10547 | Betrayal at House on the Hill | 0.218 | no |
51 | 2019 | 275010 | De Vulgari Eloquentia: Deluxe Edition | 0.216 | no |
52 | 2010 | 71721 | Space Hulk: Death Angel – The Card Game | 0.209 | no |
53 | 2018 | 260428 | Pandemic: Fall of Rome | 0.201 | yes |
54 | 2015 | 171623 | The Voyages of Marco Polo | 0.194 | no |
55 | 2011 | 96848 | Mage Knight Board Game | 0.193 | no |
56 | 2015 | 140934 | Arboretum | 0.191 | no |
57 | 2019 | 286154 | TIME Stories Revolution: Damien 1958 NT | 0.183 | no |
58 | 2018 | 242574 | Century: Eastern Wonders | 0.183 | yes |
59 | 2015 | 146508 | T.I.M.E Stories | 0.183 | no |
60 | 2014 | 164153 | Star Wars: Imperial Assault | 0.181 | yes |
61 | 2018 | 222509 | Lords of Hellas | 0.181 | no |
62 | 2005 | 18723 | Aye, Dark Overlord! The Red Box | 0.180 | no |
63 | 2012 | 104162 | Descent: Journeys in the Dark (Second Edition) | 0.179 | no |
64 | 2018 | 214887 | CO₂: Second Chance | 0.175 | no |
65 | 1995 | 13 | Catan | 0.170 | yes |
66 | 2013 | 143693 | Glass Road | 0.170 | no |
67 | 2008 | 30549 | Pandemic | 0.168 | no |
68 | 1982 | 2653 | Survive: Escape from Atlantis! | 0.168 | no |
69 | 2011 | 103343 | A Game of Thrones: The Board Game (Second Edition) | 0.165 | no |
70 | 2019 | 287954 | Azul: Summer Pavilion | 0.164 | no |
71 | 2016 | 193558 | The Oracle of Delphi | 0.164 | no |
72 | 2007 | 31481 | Galaxy Trucker | 0.162 | yes |
73 | 2018 | 254591 | Heroes of Terrinoth | 0.160 | no |
74 | 2005 | 20963 | Fury of Dracula (Second Edition) | 0.159 | no |
75 | 2016 | 182134 | Evolution: Climate | 0.159 | no |
76 | 2018 | 235544 | Specter Ops: Broken Covenant | 0.156 | no |
77 | 2017 | 232832 | Century: Golem Edition | 0.156 | no |
78 | 2013 | 144344 | Rococo | 0.153 | no |
79 | 2015 | 163968 | Elysium | 0.153 | no |
80 | 2009 | 54043 | Jaipur | 0.151 | no |
81 | 2017 | 233247 | Civilization: A New Dawn | 0.151 | yes |
82 | 2019 | 279613 | Unlock!: Timeless Adventures | 0.147 | no |
83 | 2019 | 258411 | Unlock!: Exotic Adventures – Expedition: Challenger | 0.147 | no |
84 | 2018 | 257501 | KeyForge: Call of the Archons | 0.147 | yes |
85 | 2018 | 257707 | Unlock!: Escape Adventures – In Pursuit of Cabrakan | 0.146 | no |
86 | 2017 | 224316 | Unlock!: Escape Adventures – The Elite | 0.146 | no |
87 | 2017 | 230430 | Unlock!: Escape Adventures – Temple of Ra | 0.146 | no |
88 | 2017 | 229598 | Unlock!: Escape Adventures – Doo-Arann Dungeon | 0.146 | no |
89 | 2013 | 142325 | Kobayakawa | 0.145 | no |
90 | 2011 | 59959 | Letters from Whitechapel | 0.144 | yes |
91 | 2018 | 266121 | Unlock!: Heroic Adventures | 0.140 | no |
92 | 2008 | 37794 | Magnifico | 0.139 | no |
93 | 2007 | 22827 | StarCraft: The Board Game | 0.135 | no |
94 | 2012 | 111341 | The Great Zimbabwe | 0.131 | no |
95 | 2019 | 142379 | Escape Plan | 0.130 | no |
96 | 2006 | 25417 | BattleLore | 0.130 | no |
97 | 2018 | 209324 | The World of SMOG: Rise of Moloch | 0.129 | no |
98 | 2017 | 188920 | This War of Mine: The Board Game | 0.129 | no |
99 | 2016 | 204837 | Game of Thrones: The Iron Throne | 0.129 | no |
100 | 2011 | 96913 | Lancaster | 0.129 | no |
We can also more formally assess how well the model did in resampling by looking at the area under the receiver operating characteristic. A perfect model would receive a score of 1, while a model that cannot predict the outcome will default to a score of 0.5. The extent to which something is a good score depends on the setting, but generally anything in the .8 to .9 range is very good while the .7 to .8 range is perfectly acceptable.
Another way to think about the model performance is to view its lift, or its ability to detect the positive outcomes over that of a null model. High lift indicates the model can much more quickly find all of the positive outcomes (in this case, games owned or played by the user), while a model with no lift is no better than random guessing. A gains chart is another way to view this.
Finally, we can understand the performance of the model by examining its calibration. If the model assigns a probability of 5%, how often does the outcome actually occur? A well calibrated model is one in which the predicted probabilities reflect the probabilities we would observe in the actual data. We can assess the calibration of a model by grouping its predictions into bins and assessing how often we observe the outcome versus how often our model expects to observe the outcome.
A model that is well calibrated will closely follow the dashed line - its expected probabilities match that of the observed probabilities. A model that consistently underestimates the probability of the event will be over this dashed line, be a while a model that overestimates the probability will be under the dashed line.
What games does the model think mrbananagrabber is most likely to own that are not in their collection?
Published | ID | Name | Pr(Owned) | Owned |
2015 | 172386 | Mombasa | 0.892 | no |
2018 | 256226 | Azul: Stained Glass of Sintra | 0.709 | no |
2004 | 9609 | War of the Ring | 0.676 | no |
2017 | 221107 | Pandemic Legacy: Season 2 | 0.647 | no |
2019 | 230244 | Black Angel | 0.620 | no |
What games does the model think mrbananagrabber is least likely to own that are in their collection?
Published | ID | Name | Pr(Owned) | Owned |
2019 | 247367 | Air, Land & Sea | 0.002 | yes |
2004 | 11971 | Cockroach Poker | 0.002 | yes |
1992 | 118 | Modern Art | 0.003 | yes |
2010 | 66188 | Fresco | 0.004 | yes |
1876 | 521 | Crokinole | 0.004 | yes |
Top 25 games most likely to be owned by the user in each year, highlighting in blue the games that the user has owned.
rank | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
1 | Robinson Crusoe: Adventures on the Cursed Island | Eldritch Horror | AquaSphere | Mombasa | Arkham Horror: The Card Game | Pandemic Legacy: Season 2 | Azul: Stained Glass of Sintra | Black Angel |
2 | Android: Netrunner | Glass Road | Ultimate Werewolf | Runebound (Third Edition) | Pandemic: Iberia | Spirit Island | Rising Sun | Era: Medieval Age |
3 | Il Vecchio | Rococo | Star Wars: Imperial Assault | Blood Rage | Star Wars: Rebellion | Fallout | Gingerbread House | Marvel Champions: The Card Game |
4 | Terra Mystica | Kobayakawa | Colt Express | The Voyages of Marco Polo | Sherlock Holmes Consulting Detective: Jack the Ripper & West End Adventures | Whitehall Mystery | Star Wars: X-Wing (Second Edition) | Star Wars: Outer Rim |
5 | Wits & Wagers Party | Crossing | Akrotiri | Arboretum | Hit Z Road | Sherlock Holmes Consulting Detective: Carlton House & Queen's Park | Everdell | The Lord of the Rings: Journeys in Middle-Earth |
6 | Descent: Journeys in the Dark (Second Edition) | Gearworld: The Borderlands | Fields of Arle | T.I.M.E Stories | Scythe | Codenames: Disney – Family Edition | Pandemic: Fall of Rome | Century: A New World |
7 | The Great Zimbabwe | Lewis & Clark: The Expedition | DungeonQuest Revised Edition | Elysium | Codenames: Pictures | Gloomhaven | Century: Eastern Wonders | Clank!: Legacy – Acquisitions Incorporated |
8 | Zombicide | Room 25 | ZhanGuo | Through the Ages: A New Story of Civilization | Pandemic: Reign of Cthulhu | Legend of the Five Rings: The Card Game | Lords of Hellas | De Vulgari Eloquentia: Deluxe Edition |
9 | Legends of Andor | BANG! The Dice Game | Deception: Murder in Hong Kong | Fury of Dracula (Third/Fourth Edition) | The Oracle of Delphi | Century: Golem Edition | CO₂: Second Chance | TIME Stories Revolution: Damien 1958 NT |
10 | Wiz-War (Eighth Edition) | Zombie Kidz | The Battle at Kemble's Cascade | A Game of Thrones: The Card Game (Second Edition) | Evolution: Climate | Civilization: A New Dawn | Heroes of Terrinoth | Azul: Summer Pavilion |
11 | Merchant of Venus (Second Edition) | Patchistory | Castles of Mad King Ludwig | Star Wars: Armada | Game of Thrones: The Iron Throne | Unlock!: Escape Adventures – The Elite | Specter Ops: Broken Covenant | Unlock!: Timeless Adventures |
12 | Sewer Pirats | A Study in Emerald | Sheriff of Nottingham | Mysterium | Coal Baron: The Great Card Game | Unlock!: Escape Adventures – Temple of Ra | KeyForge: Call of the Archons | Unlock!: Exotic Adventures – Expedition: Challenger |
13 | The Manhattan Project | Mage Tower, A Tower Defense Card Game | King of New York | Pandemic Legacy: Season 1 | A Feast for Odin | Unlock!: Escape Adventures – Doo-Arann Dungeon | Unlock!: Escape Adventures – In Pursuit of Cabrakan | Escape Plan |
14 | Rex: Final Days of an Empire | Tales & Games: The Three Little Pigs | Warhammer 40,000: Conquest | Codenames | Sushi Go Party! | This War of Mine: The Board Game | Unlock!: Heroic Adventures | Extraordinary Adventures: Pirates |
15 | Smash Up | 1775: Rebellion | Witness | Tales & Games: The Grasshopper & the Ant | Citadels | Unlock!: Escape Adventures – Fifth Avenue | The World of SMOG: Rise of Moloch | Unlock!: Epic Adventures |
16 | Mafia: Vendetta | Warhammer: Diskwars | Camel Up | Forbidden Stars | The Pyramid's Deadline | Lisboa | Arkham Horror (Third Edition) | The Magnificent |
17 | Winter Tales | Nauticus | Alchemists | Stockpile | When I Dream | The Godfather: Corleone's Empire | Imhotep: The Duel | Last Bastion |
18 | Sky Traders | Caverna: The Cave Farmers | Istanbul | DRCongo | Tales & Games: The Pied Piper | 878 Vikings: Invasions of England | Cosmic Run: Regeneration | Century: Golem Edition – Eastern Mountains |
19 | Love Letter | Pizza Party | Age of War | Risk: Europe | Archaeology: The New Expedition | Azul | 8Bit Box | Caylus 1303 |
20 | Keyflower | Cappuccino | The Witcher Adventure Game | Bastion | Bloodborne: The Card Game | Gaia Project | VOLT | Glen More II: Chronicles |
21 | Kemet | Concordia | Three Kingdoms Redux | Tales & Games: Little Red Riding Hood | Inis | Pendragon: The Fall of Roman Britain | Decrypto | Miskatonic University: The Restricted Collection |
22 | Kingdom of Heaven: The Crusader States 1097-1291 | Candy Chaser | Hyperborea | One Night Ultimate Werewolf: Daybreak | Black Orchestra | Bärenpark | Shadows: Amsterdam | Crusader Kings |
23 | Android: Infiltration | Impulse | Pandemic: The Cure | The King Is Dead | Hoax (Second Edition) | Pulsar 2849 | Hand of Fate: Ordeals | KeyForge: Worlds Collide |
24 | Star Wars: The Card Game | Rory's Story Cubes: Prehistoria | Heroes of Normandie | Me Want Cookies! | Khan of Khans | Codenames: Duet | One Week Ultimate Werewolf | Hellenica: Story of Greece |
25 | OddVille | Blood Bound | VOLT: Robot Battle Arena | Zombicide Season 3: Rue Morgue | The Others | Best of Werewolves of Miller's Hollow | Most Wanted | Yukon Airways |
Interactive table for predictions from resampling.
We’ll validate the model by looking at its predictions for games published in 2020. That is, how well did a model trained on a user’s collection through 2020 perform in predicting games for the user in 2020?
username | outcome | dataset | method | .metric | .estimate |
mrbananagrabber | owned | validation | glmnet | roc_auc | 0.915 |
Table of top 50 games from 2020, highlighting games that the user owns.
Published | ID | Name | Pr(Owned) | Owned |
2020 | 294484 | Unmatched: Cobble & Fog | 0.602 | yes |
2020 | 325635 | Unmatched: Little Red Riding Hood vs. Beowulf | 0.557 | no |
2020 | 184267 | On Mars | 0.308 | yes |
2020 | 296345 | Sherlock Holmes Consulting Detective: The Baker Street Irregulars | 0.263 | yes |
2020 | 298572 | Cosmic Encounter Duel | 0.252 | no |
2020 | 306040 | Merv: The Heart of the Silk Road | 0.219 | no |
2020 | 271524 | TIME Stories Revolution: A Midsummer Night | 0.186 | no |
2020 | 287742 | TIME Stories Revolution: The Hadal Project | 0.165 | no |
2020 | 291457 | Gloomhaven: Jaws of the Lion | 0.144 | yes |
2020 | 302425 | Unlock!: Mythic Adventures | 0.135 | no |
2020 | 312318 | Century: Golem Edition – An Endless World | 0.133 | yes |
2020 | 299592 | Beez | 0.118 | no |
2020 | 327913 | Unlock!: Timeless Adventures – Arsène Lupin und der große weiße Diamant | 0.115 | no |
2020 | 312267 | Star Wars: Unlock! | 0.114 | no |
2020 | 245658 | Unicorn Fever | 0.108 | no |
2020 | 314040 | Pandemic Legacy: Season 0 | 0.107 | no |
2020 | 311193 | Anno 1800 | 0.097 | yes |
2020 | 272739 | Clinic: Deluxe Edition | 0.087 | no |
2020 | 293531 | Detective: A Modern Crime Board Game – Season One | 0.086 | no |
2020 | 284378 | Kanban EV | 0.085 | no |
2020 | 292333 | Cowboys II: Cowboys & Indians Edition | 0.079 | no |
2020 | 306735 | Under Falling Skies | 0.077 | yes |
2020 | 299169 | Spicy | 0.062 | no |
2020 | 293296 | Splendor: Marvel | 0.060 | no |
2020 | 301767 | Mysterium Park | 0.058 | no |
2020 | 297486 | Ride the Rails | 0.057 | no |
2020 | 295949 | Adventure Games: The Grand Hotel Abaddon | 0.054 | no |
2020 | 316554 | Dune: Imperium | 0.052 | no |
2020 | 306481 | Tawantinsuyu: The Inca Empire | 0.048 | no |
2020 | 256940 | Krosmaster: Blast | 0.045 | no |
2020 | 304285 | Infinity Gauntlet: A Love Letter Game | 0.045 | no |
2020 | 300322 | Hallertau | 0.044 | no |
2020 | 301880 | Raiders of Scythia | 0.041 | no |
2020 | 294235 | Crime Zoom: His Last Card | 0.041 | no |
2020 | 321305 | Crime Zoom: Bird of Ill Omen | 0.041 | no |
2020 | 321306 | Crime Zoom: A Deadly Writer | 0.041 | no |
2020 | 301919 | Pandemic: Hot Zone – North America | 0.040 | no |
2020 | 319966 | The King Is Dead: Second Edition | 0.037 | yes |
2020 | 301716 | Glasgow | 0.037 | no |
2020 | 296151 | Viscounts of the West Kingdom | 0.036 | no |
2020 | 287158 | Half Truth | 0.033 | no |
2020 | 312484 | Lost Ruins of Arnak | 0.033 | yes |
2020 | 227224 | The Red Cathedral | 0.033 | no |
2020 | 313698 | Monster Expedition | 0.033 | no |
2020 | 300327 | The Castles of Tuscany | 0.032 | no |
2020 | 276205 | Philosophia: Dare to be Wise | 0.032 | no |
2020 | 300001 | Renature | 0.032 | no |
2020 | 293889 | Fallout Shelter: The Board Game | 0.031 | no |
2020 | 315954 | Hunt A Killer: Death at the Dive Bar | 0.029 | no |
2020 | 299960 | Alma Mater | 0.028 | no |
We can then refit our model to the training and validation set in order to predict all upcoming games for the user.
Examine the top 50 games for upcoming games, highlighting in blue ones the user already.
Published | ID | Name | Pr(Owned) | Owned |
2022 | 349067 | The Lord of the Rings: The Card Game – Revised Core Set | 0.586 | no |
2022 | 331106 | The Witcher: Old World | 0.510 | no |
2021 | 341169 | Great Western Trail (Second Edition) | 0.380 | no |
2021 | 343905 | Boonlake | 0.364 | yes |
2021 | 340466 | Unfathomable | 0.360 | yes |
2022 | 310873 | Carnegie | 0.341 | no |
2021 | 350636 | Unlock!: Game Adventures | 0.179 | no |
2021 | 322708 | Descent: Legends of the Dark | 0.174 | no |
2021 | 299255 | Vienna Connection | 0.163 | no |
2022 | 335764 | Unmatched: Battle of Legends, Volume Two | 0.150 | no |
2021 | 291859 | Riftforce | 0.142 | yes |
2021 | 346965 | Azul: Queen's Garden | 0.136 | no |
2023 | 337627 | Voidfall | 0.127 | no |
2021 | 304985 | Dark Ages: Holy Roman Empire | 0.119 | no |
2021 | 295535 | Dark Ages: Heritage of Charlemagne | 0.119 | no |
2021 | 256680 | Return to Dark Tower | 0.118 | no |
2021 | 329670 | Pandemic: Hot Zone – Europe | 0.113 | no |
2021 | 337787 | Summer Camp | 0.105 | no |
2023 | 347909 | Rogue Angels: Legacy of the Burning Suns | 0.104 | no |
2022 | 317511 | Tindaya | 0.097 | no |
2021 | 285967 | Ankh: Gods of Egypt | 0.080 | yes |
2021 | 298102 | Roll Camera!: The Filmmaking Board Game | 0.076 | no |
2021 | 311920 | Ultimate Werewolf: Extreme | 0.072 | no |
2021 | 306202 | Philosophia: Floating World | 0.070 | no |
2021 | 342942 | Ark Nova | 0.069 | no |
2021 | 298383 | Golem | 0.066 | no |
2021 | 333280 | Plata | 0.064 | no |
2021 | 315937 | X-Men: Mutant Insurrection | 0.060 | no |
2022 | 276182 | Dead Reckoning | 0.060 | no |
2022 | 295770 | Frosthaven | 0.059 | no |
2022 | 237179 | Weather Machine | 0.058 | no |
2021 | 325348 | Successors (Fourth Edition) | 0.057 | no |
2021 | 342848 | World of Warcraft: Wrath of the Lich King | 0.056 | no |
2022 | 299106 | Fractal: Beyond the Void | 0.055 | no |
2021 | 329450 | Equinox | 0.054 | no |
2021 | 299684 | Khôra: Rise of an Empire | 0.052 | no |
2022 | 329862 | Tiny Turbo Cars | 0.052 | no |
2022 | 319807 | Shogun no Katana | 0.051 | no |
2021 | 295785 | Euthia: Torment of Resurrection | 0.050 | no |
2021 | 291847 | Mantis Falls | 0.049 | no |
2021 | 306881 | Railroad Ink Challenge: Lush Green Edition | 0.048 | no |
2021 | 339484 | Savannah Park | 0.046 | no |
2021 | 273330 | Bloodborne: The Board Game | 0.045 | no |
2021 | 324957 | The Snallygaster Situation: Kids on Bikes Board Game | 0.045 | no |
2021 | 339906 | The Hunger | 0.044 | no |
2021 | 324242 | Sheepy Time | 0.044 | no |
2021 | 298069 | Cubitos | 0.043 | no |
2021 | 329713 | Dune: House Secrets | 0.040 | no |
2021 | 330174 | Explorers | 0.040 | no |
2021 | 336794 | Galaxy Trucker | 0.038 | no |